Antithrombotic Therapy for VTE Disease: Compendium and Review of CHEST Guidelines 2012-2021.

The CHEST Antithrombotic Therapy for Venous Thromboembolism Disease evidence-based guidelines are now updated in a more frequent, focused manner. Guidance statements from the most recent full guidelines and two subsequent updates have not been gathered into a single source. An international panel of experts with experience in prior antithrombotic therapy guideline development reviewed the 2012 CHEST antithrombotic therapy guidelines and its two subsequent updates. All guideline statements and their associated patient, intervention, comparator, and outcome questions were assembled. A modified Delphi process was used to select statements considered relevant to current clinical care. The panel further endorsed minor phrasing changes to match the standard language for guidance statements using the modified Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations (GRADE) format endorsed by the CHEST Guidelines Oversight Committee. The panel appended comments after statements deemed as relevant, including suggesting that statements be updated in future guidelines because of interval evidence. We include 58 guidance statements from prior versions of the antithrombotic therapy guidelines, with updated phrasing as needed to adhere to contemporary nomenclature. Statements were classified as strong or weak recommendations based on high-certainty, moderate-certainty, and low-certainty evidence using GRADE methodology. The panel suggested that five statements are no longer relevant to current practice. As CHEST continues to update guidance statements relevant to antithrombotic therapy for VTE disease, this article serves as a unified collection of currently relevant statements from the preceding three guidelines. Suggestions have been made to update specific statements in future publications.

Excluding pregnancy-associated deep vein thrombosis with whole-leg ultrasound.

Background: Deep vein thrombosis (DVT) is common in pregnancy, yet data are limited on the best diagnostic strategies in pregnant patients suspected of DVT. Objectives: We conducted a prospective cohort study to evaluate the rate of symptomatic DVT in the 90 days after a negative whole-leg compression ultrasound (CUS) in pregnant women presenting with DVT symptoms. Methods: In this prospective cohort study, we enrolled pregnant patients suspected of DVT between 2011 and 2019 who were referred to the vascular imaging laboratory at a tertiary care center and had anticoagulation held after a negative whole-leg CUS. Primary outcome was objectively confirmed DVT or pulmonary embolism or death due to venous thromboembolism (VTE). Results: Whole-leg CUS yielded normal results in 186 patients (97.9%) and identified DVT in 4 (2.1%). The mean age was 30 and 164 were White. Among the 186 patients with a negative, initial whole-leg CUS who did not receive anticoagulation, there were 2 DVT events identified over the 90-day follow-up period, for an overall rate of 1.1% (95% CI: 0.2-3.4%). The study was terminated before full planned accrual for administrative reasons. Conclusion: The rate of symptomatic DVT is low in pregnant patients who have a single, negative whole-leg CUS and did not receive anticoagulation. Adequately powered studies should prospectively assess whole-leg CUS in a larger population alone and in combination with pre-test probability scores and/or D-dimer to determine its role in the evaluation of suspected DVT in pregnancy.

Antithrombotic management of patients with deep vein thrombosis and venous stents: an international registry.

BACKGROUND: In patients with acute deep vein thrombosis (DVT) treated with catheter-based thrombolysis and venous stenting, poststenting anticoagulant management is uncertain. OBJECTIVES: To determine the type and duration of antithrombotic therapy used in patients who have received venous stents for treatment of acute lower extremity DVT. METHODS: We created an international registry of patients with leg DVT from 2005 to 2019 who received venous stents as part of their acute management. We collected data on baseline clinical characteristics and pre-venous and post-venous stent antithrombotic therapy. RESULTS: We studied 173 patients with venous stents: 101 (58%) were aged ≤50 years, 105 (61%) were female, and 128 (74%) had risk factors for thrombotic disease. DVT was iliofemoral in 150 (87%) patients, and catheter-based treatment was given within 7 days of diagnosis in 92 (53%) patients. After venous stenting, 109 (63%) patients received anticoagulant-only therapy with a direct oral anticoagulant (29%), warfarin (22%), or low-molecular-weight heparin (10%), and 59 (34%) received anticoagulant-antiplatelet therapy. In patients taking anticoagulant-only therapy, 29% received indefinite treatment; in patients on anticoagulant-antiplatelet therapy, 19% received indefinite treatment. Factors associated with combined anticoagulant-antiplatelet therapy vs anticoagulant-only therapy were use of thrombolytic, thrombectomy, and aspiration interventions (odds ratio [OR], 5.11; 95% CI, 1.45-18.05); use of balloon angioplasty (OR, 2.62; 95% CI, 1.20-5.76); and immediate stent restenosis (OR, 7.2; 95% CI, 1.45-5.89). CONCLUSION: Anticoagulant therapy without concomitant antiplatelet therapy appears to be the most common antithrombotic strategy in patients with DVT and venous stenting. More research is needed to determine outcomes of venous stenting in relation to antithrombotic therapy.

Below the knee, let it be: Management of calf DVT in hospitalized trauma patients.

INTRODUCTION: Management of below-knee DVT (BKDVT) in trauma patients is uncertain. We hypothesized that BKDVT can be managed with observation only. METHODS: Secondary analysis on trauma inpatients March 2017-September 2019 with risk assessment profile ≥5. Management of BKDVT included observation with ultrasound. BKDVT was compared to above-knee DVT (AKDVT), and BKDVT with progression to AKDVT/PE compared to no progression. RESULTS: Of 1988 patients, 136 (6.8%) BKDVT and 23 (1.2%) AKDVT. 7 (6.9%) BKDVT progressed to AKDVT/PE. 6.9% had BKDVT progression, associated with higher ISS (36.7 vs 21.6, p â€‹= â€‹0.005), longer prophylaxis delay (121 vs 45 â€‹h, p â€‹= â€‹0.02) and longer hospital LOS (25.6 vs 7.8, p â€‹= â€‹0.01). None experienced post-thrombotic syndrome. CONCLUSION: Majority of BKDVT in hospitalized trauma patients did not progress to AKDVT. Observation for progression, rather than treatment, was not associated with increased PE risk or thrombotic sequelae. Observation with serial ultrasound may serve as a practical alternative to anticoagulation in trauma patients with BKDVT.

Use of patient-reported outcome measures in patients with venous thromboembolism: communication from the ISTH SSC Subcommittee on Predictive and Diagnostic Variables in Thrombotic Disease.

Patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) are patient-completed instruments that capture patient-perceived health status and well-being. PROMs measure disease impact and outcomes of care as reported by those who experience the disease. After pulmonary embolism or deep vein thrombosis, patients may face a broad spectrum of complications and long-term sequelae beyond the usual quality-of-care indicators of recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE), bleeding complications, and survival. The full impact of VTE on individual patients can only be captured by assessing all relevant health outcomes from the patient's perspective in addition to the traditionally recognized complications. Defining and measuring all important outcomes will help facilitate treatment tailored to the needs and preferences of patients and may improve health outcomes. The International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis Scientific and Standardization Committee Subcommittee on Predictive and Diagnostic Variables in Thrombotic Disease endorsed the International Consortium for Health Outcomes Measurement (ICHOM) VTE project on development of a standardized set of patient-centered outcome measures for patients with VTE. In this communication, the course and result of the project are summarized, and based on these findings, we propose recommendations for the use of PROMs during clinical follow-up of patients with VTE. We describe challenges to implementation of PROMs and explore barriers and enablers.

Clinically stable covid-19 patients presenting to acute unscheduled episodic care venues have increased risk of hospitalization: secondary analysis of a randomized control trial.

BACKGROUND: Assessment for risks associated with acute stable COVID-19 is important to optimize clinical trial enrollment and target patients for scarce therapeutics. To assess whether healthcare system engagement location is an independent predictor of outcomes we performed a secondary analysis of the ACTIV-4B Outpatient Thrombosis Prevention trial. METHODS: A secondary analysis of the ACTIV-4B trial that was conducted at 52 US sites between September 2020 and August 2021. Participants were enrolled through acute unscheduled episodic care (AUEC) enrollment location (emergency department, or urgent care clinic visit) compared to minimal contact (MC) enrollment (electronic contact from test center lists of positive patients).We report the primary composite outcome of cardiopulmonary hospitalizations, symptomatic venous thromboembolism, myocardial infarction, stroke, transient ischemic attack, systemic arterial thromboembolism, or death among stable outpatients stratified by enrollment setting, AUEC versus MC. A propensity score for AUEC enrollment was created, and Cox proportional hazards regression with inverse probability weighting (IPW) was used to compare the primary outcome by enrollment location. RESULTS: Among the 657 ACTIV-4B patients randomized, 533 (81.1%) with known enrollment setting data were included in this analysis, 227 from AUEC settings and 306 from MC settings. In a multivariate logistic regression model, time from COVID test, age, Black race, Hispanic ethnicity, and body mass index were associated with AUEC enrollment. Irrespective of trial treatment allocation, patients enrolled at an AUEC setting were 10-times more likely to suffer from the adjudicated primary outcome, 7.9% vs. 0.7%; p < 0.001, compared with patients enrolled at a MC setting. Upon Cox regression analysis adjustment patients enrolled at an AUEC setting remained at significant risk of the primary composite outcome, HR 3.40 (95% CI 1.46, 7.94). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with clinically stable COVID-19 presenting to an AUEC enrollment setting represent a population at increased risk of arterial and venous thrombosis complications, hospitalization for cardiopulmonary events, or death, when adjusted for other risk factors, compared with patients enrolled at a MC setting. Future outpatient therapeutic trials and clinical therapeutic delivery programs of clinically stable COVID-19 patients may focus on inclusion of higher-risk patient populations from AUEC engagement locations. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04498273.

Predicting post-discharge venous thromboembolism and bleeding among medical patients: External validation of a novel risk score utilizing ubiquitous biomarkers.

BACKGROUND: Post-hospitalization thromboprophylaxis can reduce venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk for non-surgical patients but may carry bleeding risks. We aimed to externally validate the Intermountain Risk Scores for hospital-associated venous thromboembolism (HA-VTE IMRS) and major bleeding (HA-MB IMRS) for VTE and bleeding outcomes. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of adult patients discharged alive from medical services between 2015 and 2019. HA-VTE IMRS and HA-MB IMRS were calculated at the time of hospital discharge and dichotomized as high- or low-risk as described in the derivation manuscript. 90-day post-discharge VTE outcomes were assessed from diagnostic radiology reports, and bleeding outcomes were assessed using ICD-10 codes and blood bank transfusion records. RESULTS: Among 113,578 patients in the study, 66,340 patients (58.4 %) had a low-risk HA-VTE IMRS <7, versus 47,238 (41.6 %) high-risk ≥7. For bleed prediction, 71,576 patients (63 %) had a low-risk HA-MB IMRS <8, versus 42,002 (37 %) high-risk ≥8. VTE incidence was 1.1 % and 0.6 % while major bleeding incidence was 1.3 % and 0.1 % in high-risk versus low-risk cohorts, respectively. AUCs for VTE and bleed outcome discrimination were 0.59 and 0.78, respectively. Patients with a combined high-risk VTE score and low-risk bleeding score comprised 14.5 % of the population. CONCLUSION: In this external validation study, the HA-VTE IMRS had poor discrimination for VTE but the HA-MB IMRS had good discriminatory ability for major bleeding events. A sizable minority of patients were categorized as high VTE risk with low bleed risk, a population which may have an optimal risk-benefit profile for post-hospital thromboprophylaxis.

Performance of a Prospective Anticoagulation Stratification Algorithm After Liver Transplantation.

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) occurs in 0.4% to 15.5% and bleeding occurs in 20% to 35% of patients after liver transplantation (LT). Balancing the risk of bleeding from therapeutic anticoagulation and risk of thrombosis in the postoperative period is challenging. Little evidence exists regarding the best treatment strategy for these patients. We hypothesized that a subset of LT patients who develop postoperative deep vein thromboses (DVTs) could be managed without therapeutic anticoagulation. We implemented a quality improvement (QI) initiative using a standardized Doppler ultrasound-based VTE risk stratification algorithm to guide parsimonious implementation of therapeutic anticoagulation with heparin drip. Methods: In a prospective management QI initiative for DVT management, we compared 87 LT historical patients (control group; January 2016-December 2017) to 182 LT patients (study group; January 2018-March 2021). We analyzed the rates of immediate therapeutic anticoagulation after DVT diagnosis within 14 d of LT, clinically significant bleeding, return to the operating room, readmission, pulmonary embolism, and death within 30 d of LT before and after the QI initiative. Results: Ten patients (11.5%) in the control group and 23 patients (12.6%; P = 0.9) in the study group developed DVTs after LT. Immediate therapeutic anticoagulation was used in 7 of 10 and 5 of 23 patients in the control and study groups, respectively (P = 0.024). The study group had lower odds of receiving immediate therapeutic anticoagulation after VTE (21.7% versus 70%; odds ratio = 0.12; 95% confidence interval, 0.019-0.587; P = 0.013) and a lower rate of postoperative bleeding (8.7% versus 40%; odds ratio = 0.14, 95% confidence interval, 0.02-0.91; P = 0.048). All other outcomes were similar. Conclusions: Implementing a risk-stratified VTE treatment algorithm for immediate post-LT patients appears to be safe and feasible. We observed a decrease in the use of therapeutic anticoagulation and a lower rate of postoperative bleeding without adverse impacts on early outcomes.

DOAC compared with warfarin for VTE in patients with obesity: a retrospective cohort study conducted through the VENUS network.

The effectiveness and safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC) compared with warfarin remains uncertain in obese patients. We assessed the comparative effectiveness and safety of DOACs with warfarin for the treatment of VTE among obese patients. This multi-center retrospective cohort study included adults with a BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2 or weight ≥ 120 kg prescribed either DOAC (apixaban, dabigatran, edoxaban, rivaroxaban) or warfarin for a VTE diagnosis. The primary outcome was the 12-month rate of recurrent VTE. The secondary outcome was the 12-month rate of major bleeding. Among 5626 patients, 67% were prescribed warfarin and 33% were prescribed a DOAC. The 12-month VTE recurrence rate was 3.6% (67/1823) for patients treated with DOAC compared with 3.8% (143/3664) for patients treated with warfarin [odds ratio for recurrent VTE on warfarin versus DOAC (OR) (95% CI).07 (0.80, 1.45)]. The 12-month major bleeding rate was 0.5% (10/1868) for patients on DOAC versus 2.4% (89/3758) on warfarin [OR 4.25 (2.19, 8.22)]. Similar proportions of recurrent VTE occurred across BMI thresholds on DOAC and warfarin: for BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2 (N = 5412), 3.6% versus 3.8%, respectively [OR 1.08 (0.80, 1.46)]; for BMI ≥ 40 kg/m2 (N = 2321), 4.4% versus 3.5%, respectively [OR 0.80 (0.51, 1.26)]; and for BMI ≥ 50 kg/m2 (N = 560), 3.1% versus 3.7%, respectively [OR 1.18 (0.39, 3.56)]. Similar proportions of recurrent VTE occurred in patients with obesity treated for VTE with DOACs and warfarin. DOACs were associated with lower major bleeding compared to warfarin in patients with obesity and VTE.

Direct Oral Anticoagulants vs Vitamin K Antagonists in Patients With Antiphospholipid Syndromes: Meta-Analysis of Randomized Trials.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy and safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for patients with thrombotic antiphospholipid syndrome remain controversial. OBJECTIVES: The authors performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials that compared DOACs with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs). METHODS: We searched PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials through April 9, 2022. The 2 main efficacy outcomes were a composite of arterial thrombotic events and venous thromboembolic events (VTEs). The main safety outcome was major bleeding. Random effects models with inverse variance were used. RESULTS: Our search retrieved 253 studies. Four open-label randomized controlled trials involving 472 patients were included (mean control-arm time-in-therapeutic-range 60%). All had proper random sequence generation and adequate allocation concealment. Overall, the use of DOACs compared with VKAs was associated with increased odds of subsequent arterial thrombotic events (OR: 5.43; 95% CI: 1.87-15.75; P < 0.001, I2 = 0%), especially stroke, and the composite of arterial thrombotic events or VTE (OR: 4.46; 95% CI: 1.12-17.84; P = 0.03, I2 = 0%). The odds of subsequent VTE (OR: 1.20; 95% CI: 0.31-4.55; P = 0.79, I2 = 0%), or major bleeding (OR: 1.02; 95% CI: 0.42-2.47; P = 0.97; I2 = 0%) were not significantly different between the 2 groups. Most findings were consistent within subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with thrombotic antiphospholipid syndrome randomized to DOACs compared with VKAs appear to have increased risk for arterial thrombosis. No significant differences were observed between patients randomized to DOACs vs VKAs in the risk of subsequent VTE or major bleeding.

Primary Care Clinicians' Prescribing Patterns of Reduced-Dose Direct Oral Anticoagulants for Extended-Phase Venous Thromboembolism Treatment.

The direct anticoagulants (DOACs), apixaban and rivaroxaban, are used for extended-phase treatment of venous thromboembolism (VTE) and have labeling for dose reduction for this indication. The objective of this study was to better understand primary care clinician prescribing patterns of apixaban and rivaroxaban for extended-phase anticoagulation. We conducted a 21-question survey targeting members of the American College of Physicians and United States Veterans Administration anticoagulation management services. Survey questions covered prescribing behaviors for dose reduction of apixaban and rivaroxaban for extended VTE treatment, as well as questions related to the respondent's practice setting. We used logistic regression to assess associations between demographics and prescribing behaviors. We used k-means clustering to identify distinct groups of prescribing patterns. Among 227 respondents, most were attending physicians (60%) and one-third (34%) practiced in internal medicine or primary care. Most (59%) indicated they dose-reduced DOACs. Hospitalists (no outpatient care) were least likely to dose-reduce (OR 0.09 [95% CI 0.03-0.22]), as well as early-career clinicians (0.53 [0.30-0.91]). Pharmacists and clinicians who treat over 500 VTE patients annually were most likely to dose reduce (6.4 [2.9-16.3]), (2.9 [1.5-6.0]), respectively. We identified five clusters of dosing behaviors and characterized clinician makeup. Clusters were primarily differentiated by frequency of dose reduction, DOAC preference, and temporary re-escalation of doses. We identified clinician characteristics that are associated with dose-reduction prescribing behaviors; these analyses provide insight into where targeted interventions, such as protocolization and education, would be most beneficial.

Impact of anticoagulation therapy on the cognitive decline and dementia in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (cognitive decline and dementia in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation [CAF] trial).

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with a risk for cognitive impairment and dementia, which is more pronounced in patients with a history of clinical stroke. Anticoagulation use and efficacy impact long-term risk of dementia in AF patients in observational trials. Methods: The cognitive decline and dementia in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (CAF) Trial was a randomized, prospective, open-label vanguard clinical study with blinded endpoint assessment involving patients with moderate- to high-risk (CHADS2 or CHA2DS2-Vasc scores of ≥2) non-valvular AF assigned to dabigatran etexilate or warfarin. The primary endpoint was incident dementia or moderate cognitive decline at 24 months. Results: A total of 101 patients were enrolled [mean age:73.7 ± 6.0 years, male: 54(53.5%)]. Prior stroke and stroke risk factors were similar between groups. Average INR over the study was 2.41 ± 0.68 in the warfarin group. No patient experienced a stroke or developed dementia. Mini-Mental Status Evaluation, Hachinski Ischemic scale, cognitive subscale of the Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale, Disability Assessment for Dementia, Quality of Life Improvement as assessed by Minnesota Living with Heart Failure Scale and the Anti-Clot Treatment Scale Quality of Life Survey scores did not vary at baseline or change over 2 years. Biomarker analysis indicated a similar efficacy of anticoagulation strategies. Conclusion: Use of dabigatran and well-managed warfarin therapy were associated with similar risks of stroke, cognitive decline, and dementia at 2 years, suggestive that either strategy is acceptable. The results of this Vanguard study did not support the pursuit of a larger formally powered study.

Synoptic reporting accuracy for computed tomography pulmonary arteriography among patients suspected of pulmonary embolism.

Background: Structured reporting is an efficient and replicable method of presenting diagnostic results that eliminates variability inherent in narrative descriptive reporting and may improve clinical decisions. Synoptic element reporting can generate discrete coded data that then may inform clinical decision support and trigger downstream actions in computerized electronic health records. Objective: Limited evidence exists for use of synoptic reporting for computed tomography pulmonary arteriography (CTPA) among patients suspected of pulmonary embolism. We reported the accuracy of synoptic reporting for the outcome of pulmonary embolism among patients who presented to an integrated health care system with CTPA performed for suspected pulmonary embolism. Methods: Structured radiology reports with embedded synoptic elements were implemented for all CTPA examinations on March 1, 2018. Four hundred CTPA reports between January 4, 2019 and July 30, 2020 (200 reports each for which synoptic reporting recorded the presence or absence of pulmonary embolism [PE]) were selected at random. One non-diagnostic study was excluded from analysis. We then assessed the accuracy of synoptic reporting compared with the gold standard of manual chart review. Results: Synoptic reporting and manual review agreed in 99.2% of patients undergoing CTPA for suspected PE, agreed on the presence of PE in 196 of 199 (98.5%) cases, the absence of PE in 200 of 200 (100%) cases with a sensitivity of 87.6% (76.1-96.1) a specificity of 99.9% (99.7%-100%), a positive predictive value of 99.5% (98.1-100), and a negative predictive value of 98% (95.7%-99.5%). Conclusion: The overall rate of agreement was 99.2%, but we observed an unacceptable false-negative rate for clinical reliance on synoptic element reporting in isolation from dictated reports.

Predicting Postoperative Troponin in Patients Undergoing Elective Hip or Knee Arthroplasty: A Comparison of Five Cardiac Risk Prediction Tools.

Background: Elderly patients undergoing hip or knee arthroplasty are at a risk for myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery (MINS). We evaluated the ability of five common cardiac risk scores, alone or combined with baseline high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI), in predicting MINS and postoperative day 2 (POD2) hs-cTnI levels in patients undergoing elective total hip or knee arthroplasty. Methods: This study is ancillary to the Genetics-InFormatics Trial (GIFT) of Warfarin Therapy to Prevent Deep Venous Thrombosis, which enrolled patients 65 years and older undergoing elective total hip or knee arthroplasty. The five cardiac risk scores evaluated were the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease calculator (ASCVD), the Framingham risk score (FRS), the American College of Surgeon's National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) calculator, the revised cardiac risk index (RCRI), and the reconstructed RCRI (R-RCRI). Results: None of the scores predicted MINS in women. Among men, the ASCVD (C-statistic of 0.66; p=0.04), ACS-NSQIP (C-statistic of 0.69; p=0.01), and RCRI (C-statistic of 0.64; p=0.04) predicted MINS. Among all patients, spearman correlations (r s) of the risk scores with the POD2 hs-cTnI levels were 0.24, 0.20, 0.11, 0.11, and 0.08 for the ASCVD, Framingham, ACS-NSQIP, RCRI, and R-RCRI scores, respectively, with p values of <0.001, <0.001, <0.001, 0.006, and 0.025. Baseline hs-cTnI predicted MINS (C-statistics: 0.63 in women and 0.72 in men) and postoperative hs-cTnI (r s = 0.51, p=0.001). Conclusion: In elderly patients undergoing elective hip or knee arthroplasty, several of the scores modestly predicted MINS in men and correlated with POD2 hs-cTnI.

D-dimer Thresholds to Exclude Pulmonary Embolism among COVID-19 Patients in the Emergency Department: Derivation with Independent Validation.

OBJECTIVE: To derive and validate a D-dimer cutoff for ruling out pulmonary embolism (PE) in COVID-19 patients presenting to the emergency department (ED). METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed in an integrated healthcare system including 22 adult ED's between March 1, 2020, and January 31, 2021. Results were validated among patients enrolled in the RECOVER Registry, representing data from 154 ED's from 26 US states. Consecutive ED patients with laboratory confirmed COVID-19, a D-dimer performed within 48 h of ED arrival, and with objectively confirmed PE were compared to those without PE. After identifying a D-dimer threshold at which the 95% confidence lower bound of the negative predictive value for PE was higher than 98% in the derivation cohort, it was validated using RECOVER registry data. RESULTS: Among 3978 patients with a D-dimer result, 3583 with confirmed COVID-19 infection were included in the derivation cohort. Overall, PE incidence was 4.1% and a D-dimer cutoff of <2 µ/mL (2000 ng/mL) was associated with a NPV of 98.5% (95% CI = 98.0%-98.9%). In the validation cohort of 13,091 patients with a D-dimer, 7748 had confirmed COVID-19 infection, and the PE incidence was 1.14%. A D-dimer cutoff of <2 µ/mL was associated with a NPV of 99.5% (95% CI = 99.3%-99.7%). CONCLUSION: A D-dimer cutoff of <2 µ/ml was associated with a high negative predictive value for PE among patients with COVID-19. However, the resultant sensitivity for PE result at that threshold without pre-test probability assessment would be considered clinically unsafe.

A systematic review of biomarkers among hospitalized patients with COVID-19 predictive of venous thromboembolism: A communication from the Predictive and Diagnostic Variables Scientific and Standardization Committee of the ISTH.

Background: Thrombosis is reported to occur more often among patients with COVID-19 than otherwise expected in the setting of viral pneumonia and sepsis. Systemic inflammatory biomarkers may be associated with venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk. The ISTH subcommittee on Predictive and Diagnostic Variables in Thrombotic Disease aimed to report the evidence on prognostic biomarkers for VTE in hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Methods: Using a standardized Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analysis methodology, we conducted a systematic literature review to identify studies reporting prognostic biomarkers for VTE among hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Eligible studies included adults hospitalized with COVID-19 and reported the prognostic associations between any biomarker measured on admission, and the subsequent diagnosis of deep vein thrombosis or pulmonary embolism. Two authors reviewed titles and abstracts, and three authors extracted study data and performed review of bias. Results were displayed descriptively. Meta-analysis was not possible. Results: From the initial 196 identified studies, full-text review was performed for 72 studies. Admission D-dimer levels were associated with VTE during hospitalization in five studies, and elevated platelet count was associated with VTE during hospitalization in one study. The risk of bias ranged from low to high for included studies. Overall, there was a paucity of high-quality prognostic studies. Studies on other biomarkers did not meet the systematic review inclusion criteria. Conclusions: Admission D-dimer was associated with VTE diagnosis during hospitalization for COVID-19; however, prospective validation of this finding is needed to identify optimal D-dimer thresholds to guide VTE prophylaxis measures.

Biomarker derived risk scores predict venous thromboembolism and major bleeding among patients with COVID-19.

Background: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk is increased in patients with COVID-19 infection. Understanding which patients are likely to develop VTE may inform pharmacologic VTE prophylaxis decision making. The hospital-associated venous thromboembolism-Intermountain Risk Score (HA-VTE IMRS) and the hospital-associated major bleeding-Intermountain Risk Score (HA-MB IMRS) are risk scores predictive of VTE and bleeding that were derived from only patient age and data found in the complete blood count (CBC) and basic metabolic panel (BMP). Objectives: We assessed the HA-VTE IMRS and HA-MB IMRS for predictiveness of 90-day VTE and major bleeding, respectively, among patients diagnosed with COVID-19, and further investigated if adding D-dimer improved these predictions. We also reported 30-day outcomes. Patients/Methods: We identified 5047 sequential patients with a laboratory confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 and a CBC and BMP between 2 days before and 7 days following the diagnosis of COVID-19 from March 12, 2020, to February 28, 2021. We calculated the HA-VTE IMRS and the HA-MB IMRS for all patients. We assessed the added predictiveness of D-dimer obtained within 48 hours of the COVID test. Results: The HA-VTE IMRS yielded a c-statistic of 0.70 for predicting 90-day VTE and adding D-dimer improved the c-statistic to 0.764 with the corollary sensitivity/specificity/positive/negative predictive values of 49.4%/75.7%/6.7%/97.7% and 58.8%/76.2%/10.9%/97.4%, respectively. Among hospitalized and ambulatory patients separately, the HA-VTE IMRS performed similarly. The HA-MB IMRS predictiveness for 90-day major bleeding yielded a c-statistic of 0.64. Conclusion: The HA-VTE IMRS and HA-MB IMRS predict 90- and 30-day VTE and major bleeding among COVID-19 patients. Adding D-dimer improved the predictiveness of the HA-VTE IMRS for VTE.